Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 27

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Klostergardens Idrottsplats (Lund) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	19:00	Ettan Play


	Lunds		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.60
	2.42	3.35	2.55
	2.67	3.65	2.46
	2.34	3.59	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.4
	2.5	3.74	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.43)	2.54 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lunds
37.8%

Draw
25.9%

Trelleborg
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-2%)

Lunds - Trelleborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexandersson A. (C) 99. Bojang M. 8. Getachew J. 14. Jacobsson J. 21. Kolle D. T. 17. Lindfors S. 10. Lindman E. 3. Nicklasson L. 12. Strid J. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.	1. Pahlsson M. (G) 6. Asani A. (C) 22. Bergmark N. 7. Christiansen J. 20. Fosuhene Asare K. 21. Gabrielsson O. 14. Gudmundsson J. 18. Modig J. 5. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 3. Sverrisson O.
Substitutes
18. Akdemir F. 6. Andersson J. 4. Elwan H. 32. Fordham T. (G) 11. Mehmedagic A. 16. Olofsson D. 26. Orajarvi I.	13. Antonsson B. 17. Ellbring I. 9. Jaf E. 15. Karlsson V. 30. Malmgren W. (G) 8. Ruuska O. 10. Tipura S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Christiansen J. ⚽,
7', Sverrisson O. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Wihlborg Costa A. ⚽,
38', Bojang M. 🟥,
41', Bergmark N. ↓, Antonsson B. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 1, Lindfors S. ⚽, Strid J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kolle D. T. ↓, Orajarvi I. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Gabrielsson O. ⚽,
60', 2 - 3, Gabrielsson O. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
64', Lindfors S. ↓, Mehmedagic A. ↑,
64', Fosuhene Asare K. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
68', Mehmedagic A. 🟨,
73', Modig J. 🟨,
78', Lindman E. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
78', Getachew J. ↓, Olofsson D. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Ruuska O. ⚽, Gabrielsson O. (A),
84', Jacobsson J. ↓, Akdemir F. ↑,
85', Christiansen J. ↓, Ellbring I. ↑,
85', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
86', Ellbring I. 🟥,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 1st in the Promotion - Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 0.

In recent outings, Lunds has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Trelleborg is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Recently, Lunds has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Lunds has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lunds against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trelleborg ✔	28	19	6	3	64:31	33	63
3	Lunds	28	13	8	7	56:37	19	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.10.26	Lunds - Trollhättan	4:3 ✺
02.10.26	Lunds - Laholms	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Lunds - Kristianstad	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Åtvidaberg - Lunds	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lunds - Ängelholm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.10.26	Trelleborg - Kristianstad	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Olympic - Trelleborg	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Trelleborg - Ängelholm	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Tvååker - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Rosengård 1917 - Trelleborg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
02.08.26	Trelleborg - Lunds	2:2
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:3
Club Friendly
26.02.20	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:2
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.09.15	Lunds - Trelleborg	1:2
06.07.15	Trelleborg - Lunds	4:0
12.10.14	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:1
Club Friendly
01.03.14	Trelleborg - Lunds	0:3

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