The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lunds 59.6%
Draw 22.4%
Utsikten 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
25.7%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
25.2%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lunds's performance.
Utsikten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utsikten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lunds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utsikten than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utsikten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lunds - Utsikten Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alexandersson A. (C) 18. Akdemir F. 14. Jacobsson J. 21. Kolle D. T. 17. Lindfors S. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 9. Nygaard A. 26. Orajarvi I. 2. Velickovic B. 23. Wendt R.
1. Levin E. (G) 10. Andren E. 25. Ball O. 22. Gustafsson D. 2. Hermansson D. (C) 14. Juhlin C. 19. Koliqi M. 26. Lantz F. 17. Olsson P. 8. Wennergrund F. 4. Wiklund A.
Substitutes
99. Bojang M. 4. Elwan H. 32. Fordham T. (G) 10. Lindman E. 11. Mehmedagic A. 16. Olofsson D. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.
7. Andersson V. 6. Berndtsson K. 5. Fredriksson F. 12. Hjort W. 16. Risp E. 27. Sellstedt T. 21. Steiner A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Orajarvi I. ↓, Lindman E. ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Akdemir F. ⚽, Nygaard A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Ball O. ↓, Hjort W. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Lindfors S. ⚽,
58', Wennergrund F. ↓, Steiner A. ↑,
58', Wiklund A. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
65', Wendt R. ↓, Wihlborg Costa A. ↑,
65', Lindfors S. ↓, Olofsson D. ↑,
65', Nygaard A. ↓, Bojang M. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Nilsson A. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Wihlborg Costa A. ⚽,
83', Nilsson A. ↓, Mehmedagic A. ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Bojang M. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 2.
Lunds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Utsikten is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Lunds has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lunds is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lunds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Lunds
25
11
8
6
46:29
17
41
16
Utsikten
25
2
6
17
23:60
-37
12
Last Results with these Odds
Utsikten - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.