Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Luzern II		Breitenrain Bern

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.65	3
	2.04	3.8	3.09
	2.04	3.93	3.08	Watch
	1.97	3.74	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern II
45.7%

Draw
24.3%

Breitenrain Bern
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Breitenrain Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern II won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Breitenrain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Luzern II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luzern II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Breitenrain	10	4	2	4	13:15	-2	14
17	Luzern II	10	2	1	7	15:19	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
18.04.26	Kriens - Luzern II	4:0 ✺
15.04.26	Luzern II - Cham	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Kreuzlingen - Luzern II	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Luzern II - Lausanne II	4:2 ✺
28.03.26	Schaffhausen - Luzern II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTWL
- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
18.04.26	Breitenrain Bern - Brühl	1:3 ✺
15.04.26	Vevey - Breitenrain Bern	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Breitenrain Bern - Kriens	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cham - Breitenrain Bern	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Breitenrain Bern - Kreuzlingen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
18.10.25	Breitenrain Bern - Luzern II	2:3
09.04.25	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	2:2
05.10.24	Breitenrain Bern - Luzern II	3:1
24.02.24	Breitenrain Bern - Luzern II	0:2
13.09.23	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	0:2
26.11.22	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	5:2

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