Match Info

Druga NL - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lučko		Trnje Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.28
	2.75	3.11	2.46	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.20
	2.70	3.60	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.62)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lučko
33.9%

Draw
27.1%

Trnje Zagreb
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

26.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lučko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Trnje Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lučko - Trnje Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 4th).

Lučko has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Trnje has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lučko has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lučko against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Trnje	10	4	2	4	16:14	2	14
14	Lucko	10	2	4	4	11:13	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lučko Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
03.10.26	Slavonija Požega - Lučko	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Lučko - Zagora Unešić	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Lučko - Dugo Selo	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Uljanik Pula - Lučko	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Lučko - Solin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL
- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
03.10.26	Trnje Zagreb - Uljanik Pula	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Solin - Trnje Zagreb	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Trnje Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Jarun Zagreb - Trnje Zagreb	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Trnje Zagreb - Koprivnica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
24.02.26	Lučko - Trnje Zagreb	2:1
23.08.25	Trnje Zagreb - Lučko	0:1
Croatian 3 HNL Center
28.05.22	Trnje Zagreb - Lučko	4:4
11.04.21	Lučko - Trnje Zagreb	0:1

Lučko - Trnje Zagreb