Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Lyngbø SK		Gneist

	1	X	2
	4.09	4.91	1.51
	4.83	4.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.29)	4.81 ↑ (4.48)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyngbø SK
20.4%

Draw
18.9%

Gneist
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

19.9%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

18.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyngbø SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyngbø SK's form might have worsened.

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gneist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngbø SK than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyngbø SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gneist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lyngbø SK - Gneist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hellevik Lie J. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Rottingen K. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Aase J. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Aase J. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Brosvik Holst H. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Rottingen K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Lyngbø is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gneist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gneist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gneist is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyngbø SK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.09.25	Vålerenga 2 - Lyngbø SK	4:2 ✺
06.09.25	Lyngbø SK - Førde	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Askøy - Lyngbø SK	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Lyngbø SK - Sandefjord 2	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bjarg - Lyngbø SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.09.25	Gneist - Førde	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fyllingsdalen - Gneist	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gneist - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fana - Gneist	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gneist - Loddefjord	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Lyngbø SK - Gneist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide