Match Info

Date: 11 September 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Lyon La Duchère		Creteil

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.91	2.95	4
	1.9	3	4
	2.01	3.13	4.37
	1.95	3.2	3.8
	1.93	3.02	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.35)	3.09 ↑ (2.84)	4.09 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon La Duchère
47.8%

Draw
29.7%

Creteil
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon La Duchère has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon La Duchère's performance.

Creteil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Creteil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon La Duchère than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyon La Duchère that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Creteil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	31%	10.3%

Lyon La Duchère - Creteil Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. La Duchère will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Creteil will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Duchère: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sporting Lyon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Creteil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Lyon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sporting Lyon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lyon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon La Duchère
French Ligue 3
04.09.20	Laval - Lyon La Duchère	3:1 ✺
01.09.20	Lyon La Duchère - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
28.08.20	Sète 34 - Lyon La Duchère	3:1 ✺
21.08.20	Lyon La Duchère - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.20	Châteauroux - Lyon La Duchère	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLTW
- US Créteil-Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
04.09.20	Creteil - Stade Briochin	2:1 ✺
01.09.20	Avranches - Creteil	2:0 ✺
28.08.20	Creteil - Orleans	1:0 ✺
21.08.20	Creteil - Bastia-Borgo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.20	Paris FC - Creteil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
07.02.20	Lyon La Duchère - Creteil	3:2
30.08.19	Creteil - Lyon La Duchère	0:1
20.04.18	Lyon La Duchère - Creteil	1:1
08.12.17	Creteil - Lyon La Duchère	0:0
17.03.17	Lyon La Duchère - Creteil	2:0
30.09.16	Creteil - Lyon La Duchère	2:1

Lyon La Duchère - Creteil