Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lysekloster Family Arena (Lysekloster)


	Lysekloster		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.71
	3.8	3.9	1.75
	3.87	4.01	1.79
	3.78	3.76	1.76
	3.7	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.29)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lysekloster
24.1%

Draw
23.8%

Sandnes Ulf
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lysekloster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandnes Ulf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lysekloster than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lysekloster - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergslid F. (G) 14. Aaserud M. 15. Brattreit E. 16. Brudvik S. 10. Dang A. (C) 21. Hildal T. 31. Kvarven J. 8. Marthinussen S. 19. Stephensen K. 17. Tufta D. 24. Vik S.	1. Falch A. (C) 3. Berger E. 18. Bruseth A. 4. Gayi E. 7. Kostadinov K. 11. Kvernstuen J. 17. Nyhagen A. 10. Osenbroch E. 19. Pereira K. 8. Saugestad S. 9. Sundgot O.
Substitutes
22. Badsvik M. 32. Bolso J. 7. Edvardsen J. 20. Haga S. 26. Ihlen O. 25. Melnicenko V. (G) 18. Nordvold Lunde J.	22. Arifagic D. 23. Berland E. 25. Berntsen A. 2. Egell-Johnsen K. 21. Haland T. 29. Leandersson E. 13. Sola M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Sundgot O. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Dang A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Sundgot O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 2 - 2, Bolso J. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Nyhagen A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sandnes Ulf is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lysekloster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lysekloster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lysekloster IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.09.25	Lysekloster - Træff	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Lysekloster - Aalesunds	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.09.25	Brattvåg - Lysekloster	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lysekloster - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Brann 2 - Lysekloster	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWW
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.09.25	Flekkerøy - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Brann 2	5:0 ✺
07.09.25	Træff - Sandnes Ulf	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.05.25	Sandnes Ulf - Lysekloster	0:0
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Lysekloster - Sandnes Ulf	1:2

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