Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lysekloster Family Arena (Lysekloster)


	Lysekloster		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.70	2.10
	2.75	3.8	2.1
	2.84	3.92	2.06
	2.84	4.09	2.11	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.01
	2.84	3.75	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)	3.84 ↓ (4.04)	2.07 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lysekloster
32.6%

Draw
23.6%

Sandviken
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

22.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lysekloster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lysekloster's form might have worsened.

Sandviken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandviken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lysekloster than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lysekloster, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandviken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lysekloster - Sandviken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saetren D. (G) 8. Aroy M. 23. Dahle Fagerlie L. 32. Ihlen O. 3. Jolle E. 4. Mattingsdal M. 17. Nakken V. 18. Nordvold Lunde J. 24. Olsen O. 6. Ovreberg T. V. (C) 30. Vagen J.	1. Solberg I. (G) 15. Aasen J. 7. Dalsto L. (C) 11. Engen B. 2. Flagtvedt H. 9. Hoynes V. 6. Kamanzi L. 27. Lotsberg T. 4. Marthinussen N. 67. Mvuka B. 23. Ostratt H. B.
Substitutes
19. Bonabandi K. H. 14. Kongelf K. 2. Konstali J. 11. Liset K. 9. Ozyilmaz N. F. 33. Stavo V. 7. Svendsen T. R. 5. Valland J.	41. Abdulle A. 36. Algroy C. (G) 3. Bergstrom M. 20. Hellevik Lie J. 8. Hodne O. 22. Huesa S. 16. Rotvold-Leenaars M. 5. Tislevoll M. 10. Tune S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th in the Relegation and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lysekloster won 3.

Lysekloster has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sandviken is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sandviken may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Lysekloster has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lysekloster against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sandviken	22	7	4	11	33:45	-12	25
12	Lysekloster	22	3	6	13	26:48	-22	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lysekloster IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.09.26	Pors - Lysekloster	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lysekloster - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Notodden - Lysekloster	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arendal - Lysekloster	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lysekloster - Kvik Halden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- IL Sandviken
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.09.26	Sandviken - Vidar	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Sandviken - Åsane	2:3 penalties ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.09.26	Sotra - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sandviken - Eik-Tønsberg	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Brattvåg - Sandviken	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.06.26	Sandviken - Lysekloster	2:3
17.08.25	Lysekloster - Sandviken	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Lysekloster - Sandviken	3:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Sandviken - Lysekloster	2:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.08.23	Sandviken - Lysekloster	2:3
28.05.23	Lysekloster - Sandviken	0:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
18.09.21	Sandviken - Lysekloster	1:3

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