Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lyseng Idraetspark (Aarhus)


	Lyseng		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.3	1.4
	6.01	4.63	1.41
	6.08	4.66	1.41	Watch
	6.5	4	1.36
	6.22	4.35	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (4.99)	4.39 ↑ (3.78)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyseng
14.8%

Draw
20.7%

Holbæk
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

23%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holbæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyseng than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lyseng - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyseng won 1.

Lyseng is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Holbæk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Holbæk is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Holbæk will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lyseng won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyseng won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Holbaek	10	7	1	2	26:18	8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Lyseng
Danish 3 Division
11.04.26	Lyseng - BK Frem	2:6 ✺
06.04.26	Lyseng - Odder	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Vejgaard - Lyseng	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lyseng - BK Frem	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Lyseng	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
11.04.26	Odder - Holbæk	1:4 ✺
06.04.26	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Holbæk - Nykøbing	1:5 ✺
28.03.26	FA 2000 - Holbæk	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
14.03.26	Lyseng - Holbæk	1:1
02.08.25	Holbæk - Lyseng	6:0
19.10.24	Lyseng - Holbæk	2:1
28.09.24	Holbæk - Lyseng	3:0
28.03.24	Holbæk - Lyseng	1:0
08.10.23	Lyseng - Holbæk	0:0

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