Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Lørenskog		Nordstrand

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	6.5
	1.33	5.2	6.2
				Watch
	1.26	5.5	8.05
	1.26	5.7	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.5)	5.48 ↑ (4.95)	7.13 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lørenskog
70.6%

Draw
16.6%

Nordstrand
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

18.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

17.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lørenskog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lørenskog's performance.

Nordstrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nordstrand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lørenskog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nordstrand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lørenskog - Nordstrand Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Loulanti N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Lørenskog has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nordstrand has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lørenskog is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lørenskog won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lørenskog won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
23.06.25	HamKam 2 - Lørenskog	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Lørenskog - Gjøvik-Lyn	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	2:7 ✺
01.06.25	Lillestrøm 2 - Lørenskog	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Lørenskog - Åssiden	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWW
- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
23.06.25	Nordstrand - Strømsgodset 2	4:2 ✺
14.06.25	Skedsmo - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Elverum - Nordstrand	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Nordstrand - Bjørkelangen Høland	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Åssiden - Nordstrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
02.09.23	Nordstrand - Lørenskog	1:0
18.06.23	Lørenskog - Nordstrand	4:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
14.07.19	Nordstrand - Lørenskog	0:1
22.04.19	Lørenskog - Nordstrand	4:2

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