Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)


	Lübeck		Bremer SV

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.55	3.25
	1.98	3.64	3.61
	1.83	3.75	3.65
	1.88	3.60	3.55
	1.80	3.52	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.61 ↓ (3.62)	3.56 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
48.7%

Draw
25.5%

Bremer SV
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

21.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bremer SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lübeck that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bremer SV than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Lübeck - Bremer SV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Pfundheller B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Heiduck L. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Schalke L. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübeck won 4.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Bremer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Bremer has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lübeck for this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lübeck has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lübeck against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 2.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	VfB Lubeck	12	2	6	4	14:21	-7	12
18	Bremer	11	2	2	7	9:21	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
16.09.26	Hannover II - Lübeck	2:2
12.09.26	Lübeck - Hannoverscher SC	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Norderstedt - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lübeck - Drochtersen Assel	2:3 ✺
26.08.26	Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTTLL
- Bremer SV
German Regionalliga North
16.09.26	Bremer SV - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Bremer SV - Kickers Emden	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Bremer SV - Schöningen	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Bremer SV - Hannoverscher SC	0:1 ✺
12.08.26	Bremer SV - Phönix Lübeck	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
09.11.25	Bremer SV - Lübeck	2:3
26.07.25	Lübeck - Bremer SV	2:0
02.03.25	Bremer SV - Lübeck	0:1
31.08.24	Lübeck - Bremer SV	1:4
10.12.22	Lübeck - Bremer SV	4:1
14.08.22	Bremer SV - Lübeck	1:3

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