Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Lübeck		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.6	2.3
	2.61	3.7	2.53
	2.53	3.54	2.44
	2.52	3.28	2.43
	2.31	3.68	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
36.5%

Draw
25.8%

Phönix Lübeck
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Markvoort Beke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Karimani D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Wardak Y. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Polat M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lübeck won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Phönix Lübeck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lübeck won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lübeck won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Phonix Lubeck	11	7	2	2	30:9	21	23
12	VfB Lubeck	12	2	6	4	14:21	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Lübeck - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
12.04.26	Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Schöningen - Lübeck	0:4 ✺
13.03.26	Lübeck - Hamburger II	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Altona - Lübeck	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Hannover II - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWL
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
11.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Hannover II	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Kickers Emden	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Eintracht Norderstedt - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Phönix Lübeck - Meppen	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Bremer SV - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
05.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	2:0
12.04.25	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	2:2
06.10.24	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	1:1
24.02.23	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
31.08.22	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	0:4
12.02.22	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	1:4
01.10.21	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	2:2

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