Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	México		Aravaca

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.36	3.1	2.85
	2.29	3.12	2.75
	2.35	3.27	2.81	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.82
	2.36	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.86)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.79 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
38.5%

Draw
29.1%

Aravaca
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in México's performance.

Aravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aravaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with México that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aravaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

México - Aravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.24	México - Cala Pozuelo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Parla - México	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	México - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Las Rozas - México	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	México - Canillas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTW
- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.24	Aravaca - Parla	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Aravaca	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Aravaca - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Canillas - Aravaca	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Aravaca - Alcorcón B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWT

México - Aravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide