Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Parla

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.55	4.95
	1.6	3.69	5.21
	1.24	5.85	9.64	Watch
	1.58	3.52	5.44
	1.63	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)	4.05 ↑ (3.65)	6.01 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
61.3%

Draw
23.1%

Parla
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Móstoles URJC - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lorenzo G. ⚽,
45+2', Priso M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Arribas D. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Manzano C. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.

Móstoles is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Parla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Móstoles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Móstoles will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.11.25	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Móstoles URJC - México	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tres Cantos - Móstoles URJC	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.25	Parla - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Madrid - Parla	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Parla - Las Rozas	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Unión Adarve - Parla	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Parla - Villaverde San Andrés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.04.24	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:2
03.12.23	Móstoles URJC - Parla	2:2
31.01.21	Parla - Móstoles URJC	0:1
01.11.20	Móstoles URJC - Parla	1:1
01.03.20	Móstoles URJC - Parla	2:0
13.10.19	Parla - Móstoles URJC	2:2
18.04.19	Móstoles URJC - Parla	1:0

Móstoles URJC - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide