Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		RSC Internacional

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	2.88	3.15	2.07
	3.12	3.23	2.11
	3.24	3.3	2.16
	3.1	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.87)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	2.12 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
29.2%

Draw
28.2%

RSC Internacional
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

RSC Internacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RSC Internacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RSC Internacional than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RSC Internacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - RSC Internacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Móstoles URJC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RSC Internacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match RSC Internacional is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles URJC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.04.23	Móstoles URJC - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ursaria - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Móstoles URJC - Paracuellos Antamira	2:4 ✺
02.04.23	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Móstoles URJC - RSC Internacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL
- RSC Internacional
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.04.23	RSC Internacional - Paracuellos Antamira	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Real Aranjuez - RSC Internacional	0:3 ✺
09.04.23	Torrejón - RSC Internacional	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	RSC Internacional - Trival Valderas	5:0 ✺
26.03.23	Móstoles URJC - RSC Internacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.03.23	Móstoles URJC - RSC Internacional	0:1
27.11.22	RSC Internacional - Móstoles URJC	2:1

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