Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	MC Alger		Constantine

	1	X	2
	1.68	3	5.25
	1.5	3.45	7.1
	1.52	3.41	8.32	Watch
	1.5	3.3	7
	1.48	3.34	8.05	Watch
	1.47	3.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	7.29 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MC Alger
60%

Draw
27.4%

Constantine
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

28.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

30.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Constantine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constantine than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

MC Alger - Constantine Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Constantine (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - MC Alger (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - MC Alger (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: MC Alger will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): MC Alger will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. MC Alger (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Constantine (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Guendouz A. (G) 5. Abdellaoui A. (C) 10. Bangoura A. 28. Benhaoua O. 6. Benkhemassa M. 25. Bouguerra A. 8. Ferhat Z. 20. Halaimia M. 27. Menezla A. 29. Messoussa A. 22. Zunon K.	1. Bouhalfaya Z. (G) 8. Baouche H. 6. Benchaira M. 19. Derradji E. C. 10. Dib B. (C) 12. Meddahi O. 18. Merbah M. 11. Mouaki D. 5. Ndiaye M. 25. Rebiai M. 30. Tahar F.
Substitutes
37. Anatouf M. 7. Bayazid S. 15. Boucherit M. 2. Dendaoui R. 40. Hammache M. (G) 3. Khelif M. 11. Meziani T. 24. Naidji Z.	17. Bensayah R. 29. Boudrama A. 7. Bouzekri M. 27. Chikhi A. 21. Grine H. 20. Khalfaoui O. 26. L'Ghoul N. 23. Necir A. (G) 22. Omoyele T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90', Rebiai M. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Ferhat Z. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MC Alger won 3.

MC Alger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Constantine is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

MC Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Constantine has had a series of home games.

In this match, MC Alger is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MC Alger won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, MC Alger won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Constantine	4	2	1	1	9:6	3	7
9	MC Alger	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
02.01.26	Kabylie - MC Alger	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	MC Alger - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
23.12.25	MC Alger - Ben Aknoun	1:0 ✺
18.12.25	Rouissat - MC Alger	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
13.12.25	MC Alger - Khenchela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLW
- CS Constantine
Algerian Ligue 1
26.12.25	Khenchela - Constantine	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Constantine - Paradou	2:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
11.12.25	Constantine - Témouchent	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Constantine - El Biar	4:1 ET ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
09.11.25	Constantine - Kabylie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
28.02.25	MC Alger - Constantine	2:1
06.10.24	Constantine - MC Alger	1:1
Algerian Cup
23.04.24	MC Alger - Constantine	2:1 ET
Algerian Ligue 1
17.02.24	MC Alger - Constantine	2:0
22.09.23	Constantine - MC Alger	2:1
07.04.23	MC Alger - Constantine	0:0
08.10.22	Constantine - MC Alger	0:2

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