Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 28

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	MO Constantine		Chaouia

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.2	1.72	Watch
	4.45	3.15	1.65
	4.41	3.05	1.86	Watch
	4.43	3.13	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.45)	3.13 ↑ (2.92)	1.76 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MO Constantine
20.2%

Draw
28.7%

Chaouia
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MO Constantine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MO Constantine's form might have worsened.

Chaouia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaouia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MO Constantine than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MO Constantine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaouia than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaouia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.3%	86.7%

MO Constantine - Chaouia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Chaouia will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chaouia: 69.5% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaouia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MO Constantine won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chaouia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MO Constantine won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, MO Constantine won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MO Constantine
Algerian Ligue 2
10.04.26	MO Constantine - BENI Oulbane	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Bordj Ménaïel - MO Constantine	3:0 ✺
27.03.26	MO Constantine - Magra	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Teleghma - MO Constantine	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	MO Constantine - Khroub	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLTWW
- US Chaouia
Algerian Ligue 2
10.04.26	MO Béjaïa - Chaouia	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Chaouia - CR Béni Thour	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chaouia - MSP Batna	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Chaouia - Teleghma	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Annaba - Chaouia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
20.12.25	Chaouia - MO Constantine	3:0
19.04.25	Chaouia - MO Constantine	0:1
07.12.24	MO Constantine - Chaouia	6:3
04.03.23	MO Constantine - Chaouia	3:1
18.10.22	Chaouia - MO Constantine	1:1
12.02.22	Chaouia - MO Constantine	2:1
30.10.21	MO Constantine - Chaouia	0:1

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