Match Info

CPL - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Stadium (Phnom Penh)


	MOI Kompong Dewa		National Defense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.93
	3.05	3.35	2.05
	3.57	3.52	1.84
	3.19	4.22	1.89
	3.15	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.49)	3.58 ↓ (5)	1.94 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOI Kompong Dewa
28%

Draw
25.3%

National Defense
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

18.4%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

18%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOI Kompong Dewa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOI Kompong Dewa's performance.

National Defense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and National Defense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOI Kompong Dewa than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOI Kompong Dewa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for National Defense than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that National Defense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MOI Kompong Dewa - National Defense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dida (G) 6. Chan S. 66. Dy P. 24. Keo O. 3. Mateus Barbosa (C) 54. Mon V. 9. Patrick Nonato 10. San K. 12. Sri P. 11. Voeun V. 65. Vong V.	22. Um S. (G) 9. Ekejiuba V. 50. Kataoka S. 10. Kinoshita R. 31. Maeda R. 7. Mao P. 8. Mizuno H. 14. Murata S. (C) 5. Soung S. 3. Vorn P. 4. Yang P.
Substitutes
13. Givary L. 25. Hang P. 1. Kim C. (G) 14. Ky R. 15. Lo R. 17. Mustapha A. 27. Pen S. 4. Ricardo Lima 23. San B. 18. San S.	99. Buth R. 24. Khorn N. 19. Leang P. 1. Mat L. (G) 11. Nat S. 29. Sa U. 23. Sreng S. 15. Suk V. 6. Taniguchi T. 20. Tep F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mao P. ↓, Khorn N. ↑,
54', Mateus Barbosa 🟨,
66', Soung S. ↓, Sa U. ↑,
71', Sri P. ↓, Ky R. ↑,
72', San K. ↓, Givary L. ↑,
72', Mon V. ↓, Mustapha A. ↑,
78', Ekejiuba V. ↓, Taniguchi T. ↑,
86', Patrick Nonato ↓, Hang P. ↑,
90+2', Mizuno H. ↓, Sreng S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone CPL (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ CPL (Championship Group: )).

MOI Kompong Dewa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

National Defense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, National Defense is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOI Kompong Dewa FA
Cambodian CPL
28.09.25	Boeung Ket Angkor - MOI Kompong Dewa	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - Phnom Penh Crown	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Naga World - MOI Kompong Dewa	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - Visakha	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey - MOI Kompong Dewa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LLWTW
- National Defense Ministry FC
Cambodian CPL
28.09.25	Life FC - National Defense	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Boeung Ket Angkor - National Defense	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	National Defense - Phnom Penh Crown	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Naga World - National Defense	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	National Defense - Visakha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.7 WTTTW

MOI Kompong Dewa - National Defense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide