Match Info

Date: 4 March 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	MS Ashdod		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.5
	1.8	3.3	4.1
	1.78	3.2	4.4
	1.81	3.64	4.82
	1.78	3.38	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	4.5 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
52.1%

Draw
27.4%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

18.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MS Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.8%	18.5%

MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ashdod will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Hapoel Kfar Saba will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ashdod: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group) and 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hapoel Kfar Saba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ashdod is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ashdod won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.03.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
22.02.21	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Ra`anana	3:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.02.21	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	2:1 ✺
13.02.21	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:0 ✺
09.02.21	Hapoel Beer Sheva - MS Ashdod	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTW
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Ligat haAl
27.02.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
19.02.21	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.02.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
09.02.21	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1 ✺
06.02.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
12.12.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	0:1
24.06.20	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3
15.02.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	1:3
30.11.19	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0
20.03.17	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0
14.01.17	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0
24.09.16	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	1:0

MS Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba