Match Info

ISRAEL: STATE CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 December 2022, Monday


	MS Tira		Hapoel Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.46
	5.8	4.1	1.43
	6.01	3.97	1.49
	6	4.3	1.44	Watch
	6	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (5.7)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Tira
15.5%

Draw
21.9%

Hapoel Petah Tikva
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

19.2%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Tira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hapoel Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Petah Tikva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

MS Tira - Hapoel Petah Tikva Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tira will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Petah Tikva: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Tira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Petah Tikva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hapoel Petah Tikva is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
08.12.22	MS Tira - Ihud Bnei Shfaram	2:3 ✺
11.11.22	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - MS Tira	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	1:1 ✺
24.10.22	MS Tira - Hapoel Qalansawe	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
19.10.22	Maccabi Jaffa - MS Tira	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTLW
- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.12.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
14.11.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
04.11.22	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTTLT

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