The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MTK Budapest 18.5%
Draw 21.6%
Ferencvárosi 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
21.9%
58%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
20.9%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
5.6%
77.8%
MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 58.6% – 97%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ferencvárosi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
47. Hegyi K. (G) 2. Varju B. 4. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. (C) 30. Vitalyos V. 14. Horvath A. 3. Szepe J. 7. Molnar A. 8. Nemeth H. 20. Kerezsi Z. 17. Polievka R.
1. Varga A. (G) 4. Gomez M. 28. Raemaekers T. 22. Szalai G. 14. Osvath A. 16. Zachariassen K. (C) 66. Romao J. 17. Corbu M. 7. Acolatse E. 30. Gruber Z. 19. Kovacevic F.
Substitutes
26. Armalas V. 21. Atrok I. 29. Balazs J. (G) 10. Bognar I. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 39. Jurek G. 11. Jurina M. 27. Kovacs P. 18. Nemeth K. 15. Szeles I. A. 80. Zeljkovic A.
15. Abu Fani M. 20. Cadu 11. Dele 99. Grof D. (G) 75. Joseph L. 5. Keita N. 10. Levi J. 72. Madarasz A. 25. Makreckis C. 77. Nagy B. 47. O'Dowda C. 88. Rommens P.
Coaches
Pinezits M.
Keane R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Kovacevic F. ⚽,
39', Corbu M. 🟨,
41', Szepe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Acolatse E. ⚽,
62', Polievka R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
62', Horvath A. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
62', Szepe J. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
65', Kovacevic F. ↓, Dele ↑,
65', Corbu M. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
69', Nemeth H. 🟨,
71', Gomez M. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
71', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
72', Vitalyos V. ↓, Kovacs P. ↑,
72', Nemeth K. 🟨,
74', 0 - 3, Madarasz A. ⚽,
76', Osvath A. 🟨,
78', Acolatse E. ↓, O'Dowda C. ↑,
78', Zachariassen K. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
79', Beriashvili I. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Jurek G. ⚽, Nemeth K. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 0.
Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Ferencvárosi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ferencvárosi is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:45. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1.1:2.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ferencvaros
7
3
3
1
11:8
3
12
7
MTK Budapest
8
2
3
3
15:14
1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Ferencvárosi - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Hungary
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Hegyi K. (G) 
Beriashvili I. 
Szepe J. 
Gomez M. 
Raemaekers T. 
Zachariassen K. (C) 
Romao J. 
Corbu M. 
Acolatse E. 
Kovacevic F. 
Armalas V. 
Jurina M. 
Zeljkovic A. 
Abu Fani M. 
Dele 
Joseph L. 
Keita N. 
Levi J. 
Makreckis C. 
O'Dowda C. 
