Match Info

Carioca B2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Macaé		Goytacaz

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.92	4.34
	1.92	3	4.04
	1.87	2.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.26)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	4.29 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macaé
48.1%

Draw
30.8%

Goytacaz
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

29.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macaé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macaé's performance.

Goytacaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goytacaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Macaé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytacaz than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goytacaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Macaé - Goytacaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Pipico ⚽,
66', 🟥,
66', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

Macaé has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Goytacaz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Macaé could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macaé won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Macaé won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macaé Esporte
Brazilian Carioca B2
23.11.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Macaé	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Macaé - Santa Cruz RJ	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Macaé - 7 de Abril	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Serra Macaense - Macaé	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Macaé - Belford Roxo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLT
- Goytacaz FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
23.11.25	Belford Roxo - Goytacaz	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Goytacaz - Belford Roxo	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Goytacaz - Paraty	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Goytacaz - 7 de Abril	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Serra Macaense - Goytacaz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
13.10.25	Macaé - Goytacaz	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.02.19	Goytacaz - Macaé	1:2
26.01.19	Macaé - Goytacaz	0:0
13.01.19	Macaé - Goytacaz	2:1
20.12.17	Macaé - Goytacaz	3:1

Macaé - Goytacaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide