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Current Win Probability
Maccabi Bnei Raina 38.6%
Draw 26.4%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 35.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.7%
24.8%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
24.2%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Bnei Raina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Rishon LeZion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Bnei Raina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Rishon LeZion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Rishon LeZion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).
Maccabi Bnei Raina has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rishon LeZion is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rishon LeZion may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Bnei Raina has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maccabi Bnei Raina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
H. Ironi Rishon
11
6
3
2
19:13
6
21
8
Maccabi Bnei Raina
11
5
2
4
20:14
6
17
Last Results with these Odds
Maccabi Bnei Raina - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.66%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.