Match Info

Leumit League - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Maccabi Herzliya		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.30	3.70
	1.85	3.35	3.6	Watch
	1.86	3.62	3.91
	1.86	3.61	3.92	Watch
	1.8	3.55	3.85
	1.88	3.59	3.69	Watch
	1.87	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	3.76 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Herzliya
49.5%

Draw
26.2%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Herzliya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Herzliya than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Balilti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Abu Ahmed I. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Apa E. ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 13th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Herzliya won 2.

In recent outings, Maccabi Herzliya has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Maccabi Nazareth is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Maccabi Herzliya is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Herzliya has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maccabi Herzliya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:9 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	M. Nazareth	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
14	M. Herzliya	11	2	3	6	9:14	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Herzliya
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.10.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 ✺
24.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Herzliya	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Herzliya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWT
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.10.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:3 ✺
06.09.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
09.01.18	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:1
28.08.17	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Herzliya	2:0
17.02.17	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Herzliya	0:2
04.11.16	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
20.05.16	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2
04.03.16	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
23.11.15	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Herzliya	1:2

Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth