Match Info

Leumit League - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Israel	19:00	5 LIVE Israel


	Maccabi Kiryat Gat		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.20	2.70
	2.25	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.39	3.31	2.82
	2.36	3.38	2.85	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.75
	2.28	3.37	2.9
	2.24	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)	2.79 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
39.6%

Draw
27.7%

Kafr Qasim
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Kafr Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Kafr Qasim aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kiryat Gat will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kafr Qasim will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 11th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Kiryat Gat has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kafr Qasim is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kiryat Gat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	MS Kafr Qasim	11	4	1	6	13:12	1	13
11	Kiryat Gat	11	2	5	4	11:13	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.09.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Herzliya	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTTL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	4:2 ✺
14.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Kafr Qasim	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLL

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Kafr Qasim