Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Shaarayim		Hapoel Herzliya

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.25	1.88
	3.65	3.2	1.98
	3.96	3.27	1.89	Watch
	4.12	3.19	1.9
	3.85	3.25	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.87)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Shaarayim
23.6%

Draw
28.3%

Hapoel Herzliya
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

27.2%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Shaarayim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Hapoel Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Herzliya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Shaarayim than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Shaarayim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Herzliya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Hansen I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Maccabi Shaarayim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hapoel Herzliya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Herzliya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Herzliya is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Shaarayim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Shaarayim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Shaarayim
Israeli Liga Alef South
14.02.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Azor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.02.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	2:2 ✺
30.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Herzliya	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Herzliya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
22.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:1
29.02.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Shaarayim	4:1
28.09.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya	3:2
03.03.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Shaarayim	1:0
31.10.22	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Herzliya	0:2

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