Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Haladás Sportkomplexum (Szombathely)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Israel	Sport 1


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.66	4	5	Watch
	1.61	3.92	5.94
	1.61	3.93	5.28	Watch
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.66	4.01	5.44	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)	3.91 ↑ (3.5)	5.49 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
58.6%

Draw
24.2%

Bačka Topola
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Tel Aviv's performance.

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bačka Topola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Tel Aviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	10%	3.3%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bačka Topola Predictions

Users Predictions: Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Mishpati R. (G) 29. Jehezkel S. 13. Shlomo R. 6. Asante T. 27. Davidzada O. 42. Peretz D. (C) 28. Sissokho I. 16. Kanichowsky G. 77. Davida O. 9. Turgeman D. 33. Layous H.	12. Ilic V. (G) 77. Vlalukin J. 25. Djordjevic M. 5. Stevanovic D. 30. Petrovic N. (C) 7. Radin M. 31. Capan L. 35. Djakovac I. 8. Jovanovic S. 18. Banjac M. 10. Cirkovic A.
Substitutes
20. Addo H. 30. Baltaxa M. 10. Biton D. 55. Bitton N. 2. Cohen A. 19. Madmon E. 22. Melika O. (G) 5. Nachmias I. 3. Revivo R. 36. Shahar I. 14. van Overeem J. 7. Zahavi E.	23. Jorgic N. (G) 22. Jovanovic S. 4. Krstic V. 9. Lazetic M. 29. Mboungou V. 11. Milosavljevic I. 27. Pantovic M. 6. Pejic A. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B. 14. Stanic P. 37. Vulic M.
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Klafuric D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Turgeman D. ⚽, Peretz D. (A),
42', Djordjevic M. 🟥,
45', Vlalukin J. 🟨,
45+2', Banjac M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cirkovic A. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
59', Sissokho I. 🟨,
62', Davida O. ↓, Zahavi E. ↑,
62', Davidzada O. ↓, Revivo R. ↑,
62', Layous H. ↓, Biton D. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Peretz D. ⚽, Turgeman D. (A),
67', Petrovic N. 🟨,
71', Capan L. 🟨,
74', Vlalukin J. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
74', Jovanovic S. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
74', Sissokho I. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
79', Radin M. 🟨,
81', Radin M. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Madmon E. ⚽, Biton D. (A),
84', Turgeman D. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Haladás Sportkomplexum.

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Tel Aviv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maccabi Tel Aviv is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
06.08.24	Panevėžys - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - FCSB	0:1 ✺
23.07.24	FCSB - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLT
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
16.08.24	Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Vojvodina - Bačka Topola	1:3 ✺
04.08.24	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Radnički Niš - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Bačka Topola - IMT Novi Beograd	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLW

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