Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Maccabi Tel Aviv		Hapoel Haifa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.05
	1.72	3.76	4.51	Watch
	1.81	3.67	4.09	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	4.23 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Tel Aviv
52.7%

Draw
25.5%

Hapoel Haifa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hapoel Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hapoel Haifa (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Hapoel Haifa (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hapoel Haifa (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Heitor ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Davida O. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Abu Farhi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 4 - 0, Shahar I. ⚽,
62', 5 - 0, Davida O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Maccabi Tel Aviv is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:12. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.12.25	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Stuttgart - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
07.12.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLW
- Hapoel Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Netanya	3:4 ✺
03.12.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
03.12.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	2:1
26.04.25	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3
15.03.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	3:0
08.03.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	2:0
08.12.24	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:1
21.05.24	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:3
20.04.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	4:0

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