Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mafra U19		Casa Pia U19

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.38
	2.9	3.05	2.21
	2.44	3.3	2.64
	2.8	2.95	2.16
	2.86	3.18	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U19
32.9%

Draw
28.7%

Casa Pia U19
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Casa Pia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, Mafra U19 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mafra U19 has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mafra U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Mafra U19 - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.10.26	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Mafra U19	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mafra U19 - Benfica U19	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Santa Clara U19 - Mafra U19	7:0 ✺
05.09.26	Farense U19 - Mafra U19	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Mafra U19 - Alverca U19	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TTLWT
- Casa Pia U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.10.26	Casa Pia U19 - Farense U19	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Alverca U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Casa Pia U19 - Torreense U19	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Oriental U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Casa Pia U19 - Santa Clara U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
12.04.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	4:3
22.02.25	Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1
05.01.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1
28.09.24	Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1

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