Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Mafra U19		Casa Pia U19

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.45	3.8
	1.85	3.52	3.81
	1.85	3.59	3.71
	1.84	3.48	3.73
	1.82	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.14)	3.5 ↓ (3.66)	3.77 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U19
49.7%

Draw
26.1%

Casa Pia U19
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mafra U19's performance.

Casa Pia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casa Pia U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia U19 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casa Pia U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 🟥,
70', 🟥,
74', 🟥,

Preview

Mafra U19 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Casa Pia U19 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mafra U19 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
08.02.25	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Farense U19 - Mafra U19	1:5 ✺
25.01.25	Mafra U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Mafra U19 - Tondela U19	4:3 ✺
05.01.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWWWT
- Casa Pia U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
08.02.25	Farense U19 - Casa Pia U19	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Casa Pia U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Belenenses U19 - Casa Pia U19	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Académico de Viseu U19 - Casa Pia U19	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
05.01.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1
28.09.24	Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1

Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide