Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Mafra U19		Leiria U19

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.47	3.64	2.47
	2.4	3.44	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2)	3.53 ↓ (3.95)	2.51 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U19
38.1%

Draw
25.8%

Leiria U19
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

23.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra U19's form might have worsened.

Leiria U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Mafra U19 - Leiria U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).

Mafra U19 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leiria U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leiria U19 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
20.09.25	Académico de Viseu U19 - Mafra U19	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mafra U19 - Benfica U19	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Santa Clara U19 - Mafra U19	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Mafra U19 - Tondela U19	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Mafra U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLTL
- Leiria U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
20.09.25	Leiria U19 - Belenenses U19	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Leiria U19 - Torreense U19	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Académico de Viseu U19 - Leiria U19	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Leiria U19 - Benfica U19	1:4 ✺
15.08.25	Leiria U19 - Tondela U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTLT

Mafra U19 - Leiria U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide