Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Mafra U23		Rio Ave U23

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.66	3.38	2.54
	2.71	3.27	2.56	Watch
	2.58	3.14	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.22)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U23
35%

Draw
28.4%

Rio Ave U23
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra U23's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra U23 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Mafra U23 - Rio Ave U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Monteiro V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Camara M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Mafra U23 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Ave U23 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mafra U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Ave U23 - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.02.25	Portimonense U23 - Mafra U23	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Mafra U23 - Leixões U23	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Santa Clara U23 - Mafra U23	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Mafra U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW
- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.02.25	Rio Ave U23 - Leixões U23	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Académico de Viseu U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Rio Ave U23 - Braga U23	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Portimonense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Rio Ave U23 - Santa Clara U23	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
12.03.24	Mafra U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:0
23.01.24	Rio Ave U23 - Mafra U23	4:2
04.03.23	Mafra U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:4
24.01.23	Rio Ave U23 - Mafra U23	0:1

Mafra U23 - Rio Ave U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide