Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 37

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Magenta		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.13	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.32	3.08
	2.19	3.13	3.11
	2.13	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.63)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.08 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magenta
42.2%

Draw
28.4%

SantAngelo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magenta's performance.

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SantAngelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magenta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SantAngelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Magenta - SantAngelo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SantAngelo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Toldo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Lo Monaco M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 9).

Recent matches Magenta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SantAngelo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magenta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Magenta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

SantAngelo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Magenta
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.04.25	Chievo - Magenta	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Magenta - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Breno - Magenta	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Magenta - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Pro Palazzolo - Magenta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTL
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.04.25	SantAngelo - Castellanzese	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - SantAngelo	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	SantAngelo - Vigasio	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Club Milano - SantAngelo	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	SantAngelo - Crema	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
15.12.24	SantAngelo - Magenta	1:1

Magenta - SantAngelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide