Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium (Maha Sarakham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Mahasarakham		Pattaya United

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	4.85
	1.76	3.45	3.79
	1.7	3.64	4.34	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.49	3.78	6.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	4.6 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mahasarakham
55.3%

Draw
25%

Pattaya United
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mahasarakham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pattaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahasarakham than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pattaya United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Mahasarakham - Pattaya United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Chitchanok ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Mahasarakham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pattaya United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mahasarakham is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mahasarakham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mahasarakham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pattaya United	4	1	1	2	1:6	-5	4
16	Mahasarakham	4	0	3	1	3:6	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mahasarakham FC
Thai League 2
01.03.26	Nakhon Si United - Mahasarakham	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Mahasarakham - Songkhla	3:0 ✺
19.02.26	Chainat - Mahasarakham	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mahasarakham - Sisaket United	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Chanthaburi - Mahasarakham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLW
- Pattaya United
Thai League 2
01.03.26	Pattaya United - Khonkaen United	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Rasisalai United - Pattaya United	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Pattaya United - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Trat - Pattaya United	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Songkhla - Pattaya United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
08.11.25	Pattaya United - Mahasarakham	2:3
19.01.25	Mahasarakham - Pattaya United	1:2
31.08.24	Pattaya United - Mahasarakham	1:1

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