Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA YOUTH LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Bruchwegstadion (Mainz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Mainz U19		Porto U19

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	3.75	4	1.83
	4.16	4.07	1.82
	4.16	4.07	1.71
	3.89	4.3	1.79
	3.65	3.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.41)	3.98 ↓ (3.99)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz U19
24.1%

Draw
23.5%

Porto U19
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.3%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

20.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Porto U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Mainz U19 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto U19 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Mainz U19 - Porto U19 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Porto U19 will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto U19: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Babatz L. (G) 2. Gotze J. 4. Marincau E. 5. Dal M. 3. Muller T. 8. Pavisic S. 11. Engel F. 7. Gleiber D. (C) 6. Amann J. 10. Dardari A. 9. Kalemba M. L.	1. Fernandes D. (G) 2. Fernandes M. 3. Ribeiro A. 4. Bras G. (C) 5. Rodrigues D. 8. Teixeira J. 6. Oliveira A. 10. Mora R. 7. Sousa G. 9. Cande A. 11. Andrade T.
Substitutes
15. Bierschenk L. 13. Horozovic S. 17. Kljajic N. 16. Toure S. 12. Ugljanin J. 14. Wiesnet M. 18. Zuther P. (G)	17. Balde A. 13. Ferreira B. 14. Gomes L. 12. Lacerda (G) 16. Pinto Martins G. 15. Regal M. 18. Varela C.
Coaches
Hoffmann B.	Capucho

Preview

Mainz U19 in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Porto U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Porto U19 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz U19
German Junioren Bundesliga South
09.03.24	Stuttgart U19 - Mainz U19	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Mainz U19 - Augsburg U19	2:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
27.02.24	Mainz U19 - Manchester City U19	2:1 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
24.02.24	Sandhausen U19 - Mainz U19	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Mainz U19 - Greuther Fürth U19	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWWW
- Porto U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
09.03.24	Porto U19 - Benfica U19	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Famalicão U19 - Porto U19	1:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
27.02.24	AZ Alkmaar U19 - Porto U19	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.02.24	Porto U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Académico de Viseu U19 - Porto U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

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