Match Info
3. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 4 May 2026, MondayLocation: Yeni Malatya Stadyumu (Malatya)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Turkey | Tivibu Spor |
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 |
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 |
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Malatya Yeşilyurt |
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Erciyes 38 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.05 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.72) |
3.05 ↓
(3.35) |
2.72 ↑
(2.4) |
|
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Malatya Yeşilyurt
36.3% | Draw
30% | Erciyes 38
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malatya Yeşilyurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Erciyes 38 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malatya Yeşilyurt than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erciyes 38 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Yildimir M. 🟥,
- 90', Yasak C. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Malatya Yeşilyurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malatya Yeşilyurt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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