Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium (Bandar-e Anzali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	IRIB Varzesh


	Malavan		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.55	2.85
	2.78	2.45	2.92
	2.78	2.41	3.02
	2.85	2.45	3.1
	2.85	2.43	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)	2.46 ↓ (2.59)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
32.4%

Draw
37.1%

Kheybar Khorramabad
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

35.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

34.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Malavan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kheybar Khorramabad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malavan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Tayebipour F. (G) 2. Touranian S. 77. Safarzadeh A. 24. Eiri D. 5. Karimi S. 20. Papi M. 8. Sabet Imani G. 21. Habibi A. 90. Sadeghi H. 13. Alinejad M. 99. Ramezani A.	12. Dinarvand M. (G) 6. Masoumi M. E. 3. Hosseini E. 2. Sefid M. 4. Pasandideh S. 88. Babaei E. 15. Mohebi M. 23. Albusabih S. 7. Goudarzi M. 99. Ghezel A. 76. Hossein A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Goudarzi M. 🟨,
44', Karimi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Safarzadeh A. ⚽, Habibi A. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Malavan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Malavan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Pro League
25.09.25	Persepolis - Malavan	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Malavan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Malavan	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Malavan	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Malavan - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLTWT
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
11.04.25	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	3:0
02.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:3
Iran Division 1
30.04.22	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
14.12.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
24.07.21	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 penalties
Iran Division 1
24.04.21	Malavan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:2
16.12.20	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	2:2

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