Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Malavan		Navad Urmia

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	4.75
	1.83	2.8	4.4
	1.8	2.88	4.75
	1.95	2.91	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	4.56 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malavan
48.8%

Draw
31.4%

Navad Urmia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

21%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malavan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malavan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navad Urmia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Malavan is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Malavan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Malavan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malavan
Iran Division 1
07.02.21	Mes Kerman - Malavan	1:0 ✺
01.02.21	Malavan - Khoosheh Talai	0:0 ✺
18.01.21	Malavan - Havadar	1:1 ✺
11.01.21	Fajr Sepasi - Malavan	2:0 ✺
04.01.21	Malavan - Gol Reyhan Alborz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLW
- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
07.02.21	Navad Urmia - Arman Gohar	1:0 ✺
01.02.21	Chooka Talesh - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
25.01.21	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:0 ✺
18.01.21	Qashqai Shiraz - Navad Urmia	0:2 ✺
11.01.21	Navad Urmia - Baadraan Tehran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
23.02.20	Malavan - Navad Urmia	0:0
11.10.19	Navad Urmia - Malavan	2:0
30.04.19	Navad Urmia - Malavan	1:2
15.12.18	Malavan - Navad Urmia	2:0

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