Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Malawi		Burundi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	2.87	3.9
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.02	2.86	4.51
	1.97	2.96	4.54	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.91	3.2	4.38	Watch
	2.05	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.38)	3 ↑ (2.8)	4.12 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
46.6%

Draw
30.9%

Burundi
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malawi's performance.

Burundi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burundi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Malawi - Burundi Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Malawi will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Burundi will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chikooka G. (G) 2. Sanudi S. Mighty Wanderers FC 7. Mwase N. Silver Strikers 5. Chembezi D. Black Leopards 20. Chester Y. Costa do Sol 8. Idana C. Silver Strikers 6. Aaron L. 19. Nkhoma L. Big Bullets 3. Chirwa G. Big Bullets 11. Mphasi C. 10. Kaonga C. Zanaco	23. Nkurunziza M. (G) RWD Molenbeek 3. Manirakoze A. 14. Ndayishimiye Y. Nice 19. Nsabiyumva F. Vasteras SK 16. Musore P. 20. Kanakimana B. Jablonec 6. Mossi T. SumQayit FK 5. Madjaliwa A. Rayon Sport 2. Claude J. Al-Hilal Omdurman 9. Hussein S. AS Kigali 10. Ntibazonkiza S. (C) Simba
Substitutes
17. Banda J. Malawi 15. Chaziya L. Mighty Wanderers FC 9. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 12. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 18. Macheso P. Silver Strikers 14. Mpinganjira W. Mighty Wanderers FC 13. Mwaungulu P. Big Bullets 22. Nkhoma Z. Kamuzu Barracks 16. Nyasulu I. (G) 4. Paipi M. Silver Strikers 21. Saizi R. Zanaco 23. Vunga U. Silver Strikers	11. Amissi M. Baladiyat El Mahalla 21. Bigirimana A. Police 22. Bukuru K. 8. Eldhino M. Bumamuru 18. Jordi L. 7. Kamsoba E. PSS Sleman 15. Msanga H. Flambeau du Centre 24. Muderi A. Gasogi United 4. Mukombozi D. Namungo 1. Nahimana J. (G) Namungo 12. Nimbona K. Vital'O 17. Rukundo A. Flambeau du Centre
Coaches
Mabedi P.	Ndayiragije E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', Madjaliwa A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Idana C. (Own goal),
31', 1 - 1, Kaonga C. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Girumugisha J. C. ⚽, Kanakimana B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Ntibazonkiza S. ↓, Eldhino M. ↑,
59', Mossi T. ↓, Msanga H. ↑,
65', Kanakimana B. ↓, Jordi L. ↑,
70', Chester Y. ↓, Saizi R. ↑,
71', Idana C. ↓, Mwaungulu P. ↑,
71', Madjaliwa A. ↓, Bigirimana A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Nkhoma Z. ⚽, Kaonga C. (A),
82', 🟨,
83', Saizi R. 🟨,
87', 2 - 3, Eldhino M. ⚽,
90+4', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,

Preview

Malawi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Equatorial Guinea - Malawi	1:0 ✺
06.06.24	Malawi - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:1 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	Malawi - Zambia	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Malawi - Kenya	0:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Malawi - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Burundi
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Seychelles - Burundi	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	Kenya - Burundi	1:1 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Burundi - Botswana	0:0 ✺
22.03.24	Madagascar - Burundi	1:0 ✺
09.01.24	Burundi - Algeria	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLL

Malawi - Burundi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide