Match Info

FIFA ASEAN Cup - Division 1 - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Location: Gelora Bung Karno Stadium (Jakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Malaysia		Vietnam

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.20	2.37
	2.55	3.15	2.40	Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.39
	2.83	3.47	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.3
	2.87	3.67	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.41)	3.36 ↓ (3.76)	2.34 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaysia
33.3%

Draw
27.4%

Vietnam
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaysia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malaysia's form might have worsened.

Vietnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaysia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malaysia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vietnam than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Malaysia - Vietnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Malaysia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vietnam will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vietnam (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hazmi S. (G) Johor DT 6. Cheng Q. Selangor 14. Haiqal H. Selangor 3. Shamsul U. Terengganu 22. Corbin-Ong L. (C) Johor DT 11. Wan H. Johor DT 15. Laine N. Selangor 2. Ting D. Ratchaburi 12. Wilkin S. Johor DT 4. Hidalgo M. Johor DT 9. Bergson Johor DT	1. Le Giang P. (G) Ho Chi Minh 5. Adou L. Cong An Ha Noi 20. Bui Hoang Viet Anh Cong An Ha Noi 2. Le Ngoc Bao Phu Dong Ninh Binh 15. Truong T. A. Phu Dong Ninh Binh 8. Le Pham Thanh Long Cong An Ha Noi 14. Nguyen Hoang Duc (C) Phu Dong Ninh Binh 16. Ngo D. K. Ho Chi Minh 3. Pendant J. Cong An Ha Noi 18. Nguyen Hai Long Hanoi FC 11. Williams L. Ho Chi Minh
Substitutes
10. Aiman A. Johor DT 8. Bashah S. Selangor 20. Faiz N. Kuching City FC 1. Ghani A. (G) Negeri Sembilan FA 17. Gunalan P. Terengganu 23. Nadzli Haziq (G) Kuching City FC 19. Paulo Josue Kuala Lumpur City 18. Syahmi Johor DT 5. Tapp B. Johor DT 13. Tierney F. Omonia 29th May	10. Hendrio Hanoi FC 4. Le Van Do Cong An Ha Noi 9. Nguyen Dinh Bac Cong An Ha Noi 6. Nguyen Nhat Minh Ho Chi Minh 13. Nguyen Tai Loc Long An 23. Nguyen Van Vi Nam Dinh 7. Pham X. M. Hanoi FC 22. Phan T. T. Viettel 21. Tran Trung Kien (G) Gia Lai 19. Vo Hoang Minh Khoa Binh Duong
Coaches
Hoe T.	Kim Sang-Sik

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Cheng Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cheng Q. ↓, Syahmi ↑,
60', Wan H. ↓, Bashah S. ↑,
60', Bergson ↓, Tierney F. ↑,
60', Williams L. ↓, Nguyen Dinh Bac ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Tierney F. ⚽, Hidalgo M. (A),
68', Ngo D. K. ↓, Le Van Do ↑,
78', Haiqal H. ↓, Gunalan P. ↑,
84', Pendant J. ↓, Phan T. T. ↑,
84', Nguyen Hoang Duc ↓, Pham X. M. ↑,
84', Adou L. ↓, Vo Hoang Minh Khoa ↑,
86', Hidalgo M. ↓, Paulo Josue ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', Le Giang P. 🟨,

Preview

Malaysia is ranked FIFA: 136., and Vietnam is ranked FIFA: 99..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaysia won 1.

Malaysia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vietnam shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vietnam may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Malaysia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:30 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaysia
FIFA ASEAN Cup
01.10.26	Malaysia - Singapore	6:0 ✺
28.09.26	Malaysia - Indonesia	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Bangladesh - Malaysia	0:3 ✺
ASEAN Championship
19.08.26	Vietnam - Malaysia	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Malaysia - Vietnam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTWLL
- Vietnam
FIFA ASEAN Cup
02.10.26	Vietnam - Pakistan	4:2 ✺
29.09.26	Thailand - Vietnam	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Vietnam - Philippines	1:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
26.08.26	Vietnam - Thailand	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Thailand - Vietnam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Championship
19.08.26	Vietnam - Malaysia	2:0
16.08.26	Malaysia - Vietnam	0:2
Asian Cup
31.03.26	Vietnam - Malaysia	3:1
10.06.25	Malaysia - Vietnam	4:0
ASEAN Championship
27.12.22	Vietnam - Malaysia	3:0
12.12.21	Vietnam - Malaysia	3:0
FIFA World Cup
11.06.21	Malaysia - Vietnam	1:2

Malaysia - Vietnam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide