Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mali		Morocco

	1	X	2
	9.5	3.6	1.44
	9	3.6	1.45
	8.6	3.5	1.43
	10.21	3.56	1.49
	10	3.6	1.42
	9	3.88	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.39 ↑ (5.49)	3.62 ↑ (3.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali
9.9%

Draw
25.7%

Morocco
64.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.7%

28.2%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

17.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mali's form might have worsened.

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morocco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-30.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.2%	9.6%	89.2%

Mali - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: Morocco will win (74 of 83 users predict this - 89.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.47% – 95.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Mali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Morocco is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mali won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali
African Nations Championship
03.02.21	Mali - Guinea	1:0 penalties ✺
30.01.21	Mali - Congo	1:0 penalties ✺
24.01.21	Zimbabwe - Mali	0:1 ✺
20.01.21	Cameroon - Mali	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Mali - Burkina Faso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWTW
- Morocco
African Nations Championship
03.02.21	Morocco - Cameroon	4:0 ✺
31.01.21	Morocco - Zambia	3:1 ✺
26.01.21	Uganda - Morocco	2:5 ✺
22.01.21	Morocco - Rwanda	0:0 ✺
18.01.21	Morocco - Togo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Mali - Morocco	0:0
01.09.17	Morocco - Mali	6:0
Friendly
06.03.13	Morocco - Mali	2:1

Mali - Morocco