Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 22

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Mali Coura		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.3	1.58	Watch
	5.65	3.31	1.55
	6.12	3.27	1.62	Watch
	5.75	3.1	1.6
	6.1	3.42	1.55	Watch
	4.25	2.9	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (4.25)	3.22 ↑ (2.9)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali Coura
16.2%

Draw
28.1%

Stade Malien
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

30.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

30.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali Coura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Malien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mali Coura than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Malien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mali Coura - Stade Malien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent performances by Mali Coura have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stade Malien is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mali Coura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stade Malien is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mali Coura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	-11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mali Coura
Malian Première Division
19.05.26	Bougouba - Mali Coura	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Mali Coura - Djoliba	1:1 ✺
Coupe du Mali
06.05.26	Real Bamako - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
02.05.26	Afrique Football Elite - Mali Coura	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Mali Coura - Korofina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTLTW
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
21.05.26	Stade Malien - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Onze Créateurs - Stade Malien	1:2 ✺
Coupe du Mali
07.05.26	Stade Malien - AS Sofa	9:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
02.05.26	Derby Académie - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Stade Malien - Afrique Football Elite	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Stade Malien - Mali Coura	0:2

Mali Coura - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide