What is the expert prediction for Mali W vs Ghana W?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Mali W vs Ghana W. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Mali W vs Ghana W Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 06, 2026)

Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Round 3

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Moulay Rachid Stadium (Casablanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mali W		Ghana W

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.61
	4.50	3.80	1.66
	5.25	3.69	1.61
	5.26	3.71	1.64	Watch
	5.15	3.50	1.59
	4.57	3.84	1.61
	5.20	3.80	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	1.62 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali W
18.5%

Draw
24.9%

Ghana W
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

25.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mali W's form might have worsened.

Ghana W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ghana W's recent form is better than expected.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karentao F. (C) USFAS Bamako 23. Sissoko T. Paris FC 25. Sissoko O. Roubaix 24. Diagne A. 5. Coudon M. Toulouse 20. Traore S. Beijing Beikong 6. Dembele C. Roubaix 11. Diarra S. 19. Niakate F. 9. Kone O. USFAS Bamako 14. Traore A. Boston Legacy	1. Konlan C. (G) Swieqi 15. Yeboah C. Logrono 3. Duah S. Racing Power 17. Boakye P. (C) Mazembe 23. Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. Carl Zeiss Jena 11. Kusi A. Fenerbahce 6. Cudjoe J. Brooklyn 5. Asantewaa G. Juarez 13. Badu E. Montreal Roses FC 9. Boaduwaa D. Spartak Subotica 8. Boye-Hlorkah C. Nottingham
Substitutes
4. Dembele F. Costa Adeje Tenerife 15. Diabate K. USFAS Bamako 10. Diarra A. PSG 7. Diarra F. 26. Dicko A. 13. Konte K. Saint-Maur 22. Liberge A. (G) 3. Marega M. Brest 12. N'diaye H. 8. Niakate Y. Nice 21. Sidibe O.	12. Achiaa A. 10. Adubea P. Abu Dhabi Country Club 16. Amenyeku A. (G) 25. Kim A. Neom SC 7. Marfo P. PSV 24. Mohammed W. Zurich 14. Nyamekye S. Brann 4. Opoku A. East Bengal 22. Osman H. (G) 21. Owusu L. AFC Toronto 26. Sampson S. Pitea 2. Simon B. Servette 19. Tay A. 20. Zakaria A.
Coaches
Konate B.	Bjorkegren K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Karentao F. ↓, Liberge A. ↑,
32', Traore S. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Badu E. ⚽, Yeboah C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Niakate F. ↓, Diarra F. ↑,
46', Diarra S. ↓, Diabate K. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Diabate K. ⚽,
63', Traore A. 🟨,
73', Dembele C. 🟨,
73', Boye-Hlorkah C. ↓, Nyamekye S. ↑,
83', Boaduwaa D. ↓, Zakaria A. ↑,
83', Badu E. ↓, Owusu L. ↑,
90', Kone O. ↓, Diarra A. ↑,
90', Coudon M. ↓, Konte K. ↑,

Preview

Ghana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ghana is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mali won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
02.08.26	Mali W - Cape Verde W	3:2 ✺
29.07.26	Cameroon W - Mali W	2:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
20.07.26	Mali W - Ivory Coast W	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Burkina Faso W - Mali W	2:2 ✺
04.06.26	Burkina Faso W - Mali W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTT
- Ghana W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
02.08.26	Ghana W - Cameroon W	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Ghana W - Cape Verde W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
23.07.26	Malawi W - Ghana W	0:4 ✺
20.07.26	Ghana W - Tanzania W	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Ghana W - Russia W	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Women
11.07.25	Ghana W - Mali W	1:1
20.11.18	Ghana W - Mali W	1:2
26.11.16	Mali W - Ghana W	1:3

Mali W - Ghana W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide