Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Round 1

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Municipal de Berkane (Berkane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Ghana	GTV Sports Plus
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Morocco	Arryadia, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Philippines	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport PSL
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Mali W		Tanzania W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.72	2.73
				Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.8
	2.15	3.56	2.83	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.39)	3.75 ↓ (4.75)	3.62 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali W
49.1%

Draw
25%

Tanzania W
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mali W's form might have worsened.

Tanzania W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tanzania W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Mali W - Tanzania W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Mali (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mali W will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mali W will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mali (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karentao F. (C) 3. Dembele F. Costa Adeje Tenerife 13. Konte K. Saint-Maur 2. Sogore C. 18. Samake A. 20. Traore S. Wuhan Jiangda 8. Niakate Y. Nice 7. Diarra F. 10. Diarra A. PSG 14. Traore A. Fleury 91 15. Diabate K.	18. Idrisa N. (C) 2. Katunzi A. 21. Mwamakamba V. 15. Singano J. Juarez 8. Athumani S. 12. Pangamwene J. 6. Minja D. 11. Msewa D. Trabzonspor 17. Lunyamila E. Mazatlan FC 10. Mnunduka J. 13. Omary A.
Substitutes
21. Baradji D. 22. Bengaly A. (G) 6. Dembele C. Marseille 11. Diarra S. 16. Konate A. (G) 9. Kone O. 19. Niakate F. 4. Sissoko T. Paris FC 12. Traore H. 17. Traore M.	19. Chenge E. 5. Issa F. 25. Jafari N. (G) 4. Kabambo L. 16. Maseke E. 9. Mnunka A. 20. Mrisho A. (G) 1. Shija J. (G) 3. Ubamba H. Masar

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Mwamakamba V. 🟨,
32', Omary A. ↓, Mnunka A. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Traore S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Diarra A. ↓, Niakate F. ↑,
78', Mwamakamba V. ↓, Kabambo L. ↑,
78', Mnunduka J. ↓, Chenge E. ↑,
79', Diabate K. ↓, Kone O. ↑,
79', Diarra F. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,

Preview

Tanzania is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tanzania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mali is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mali won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali W
Friendly International Women
31.05.25	Mali W - Liberia W	0:1 ✺
29.05.25	Mali W - Sierra Leone W	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Guinea Bissau W - Mali W	1:4 ✺
03.12.24	Morocco W - Mali W	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Tanzania W - Mali W	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT
- Tanzania W
Friendly International Women
28.06.25	Morocco W - Tanzania W	4:0 ✺
CECAFA Championship Women
21.06.25	Tanzania W - Kenya W	1:0 ✺
19.06.25	Uganda W - Tanzania W	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Tanzania W - Burundi W	6:0 ✺
13.06.25	South Sudan W - Tanzania W	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
31.05.24	Tanzania W - Mali W	2:2

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