The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Malisheva 41.5%
Draw 30.1%
Prishtina 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48%
26.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
28.9%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malisheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malisheva's form might have worsened.
Prishtina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malisheva than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malisheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prishtina than the current prediction. (-5%)
Malisheva - Prishtina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ibishi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Diatta A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malisheva won 3.
Malisheva has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Prishtina is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Malisheva carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Malisheva has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Malisheva against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Malisheva
9
6
2
1
21:7
14
20
2
Prishtina
8
6
2
0
19:5
14
20
Last Results with these Odds
Malisheva - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 47.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.