Match Info

Allsvenskan Women - Round 15

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Laajanen H. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Fanseat, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	SVT Play, Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Malmö		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.25	2.20
	2.95	3.35	2.15
	3.08	3.54	2.12
	3.06	3.46	2.07	Watch
	3	3.5	2.09
	3.14	3.44	2.13
	3	3.3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.38)	3.41 ↑ (3.13)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
30.4%

Draw
26.8%

Hammarby
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö's form might have worsened.

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Malmö - Hammarby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musovic Z. (G) 15. Martensson A. 4. Lofqvist E. 13. Petrovic E. 18. Nevin C. 21. Sayer A. 8. Persson M. (C) 19. Russell L. 11. Milivojevic V. 9. Eiriksdottir H. 29. Lindstrom A.	29. Andersson C. (G) 15. Reidy S. 18. Carlsson A. (C) 2. Bragstad E. 3. Arnardottir G. 6. Sorum E. 5. Curmark F. 14. Janzen M. 17. Lennartsson S. 9. Nyhagen M. 7. Walter A.
Substitutes
26. Breland L. 3. Grant C. 7. Johansson S. 25. Khatawi M. 31. Krammer K. (G) 16. Skoog T. 32. Wahlgren T.	28. Christensen L. (G) 8. Koivisto V. 42. Linder A. 40. Lorenius I. 27. Maiquez S. 24. Nylen S. 25. Peterson F. 26. Petz D. 16. Rehnberg S.
Coaches
Valfridsson J.	Stromberg W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Petrovic E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sorum E. ↓, Peterson F. ↑,
46', Nevin C. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Sayer A. ⚽,
65', Walter A. ↓, Koivisto V. ↑,
65', Nyhagen M. ↓, Rehnberg S. ↑,
70', Grant C. 🟨,
73', Lindstrom A. ↓, Skoog T. ↑,
77', Lennartsson S. ↓, Lorenius I. ↑,
90', Russell L. ↓, Johansson S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

Malmö is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hammarby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Malmö won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan Women for now

Hammarby W: 13.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby W	21	17	2	2	51:10	41	53
3	Malmo FF W	21	11	6	4	40:14	26	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF Women
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
15.08.26	Uppsala - Malmö	0:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	Vålerenga - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
31.07.26	Malmö - Piteå	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Vittsjö - Malmö	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Malmö - Kristianstad	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLW
- Hammarby IF DFF
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
16.08.26	Hammarby - Piteå	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
05.08.26	Hammarby - Apolonia Fier	4:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
31.07.26	Hammarby - Växjö DFF	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Norrköping - Hammarby	0:4 ✺
25.06.26	Piteå - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Women
20.05.26	Hammarby - Malmö	2:1
06.09.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:1
26.04.25	Malmö - Hammarby	1:1

Malmö - Hammarby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide