Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Manacor		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.25
	1.69	3.68	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.82	3.53	4.25
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.38)	3.48 ↓ (4.5)	4.19 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manacor
51.9%

Draw
26.3%

Platges de Calvià
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manacor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manacor's form might have worsened.

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Platges de Calvià's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manacor than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manacor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Platges de Calvià, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manacor - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manacor won 2.

Manacor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Platges de Calvià has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Manacor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Manacor is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Manacor will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Manacor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manacor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manacor	5	5	0	0	15:5	10	15
6	Platges de Calvia	5	3	0	2	9:5	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manacor
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Formentera - Manacor	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Llosetense - Manacor	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Manacor - Cardassar	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Constancia - Manacor	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mercadal - Manacor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Binissalem - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
04.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Peña Deportiva - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Platges de Calvià - Portmany	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Manacor	1:1
21.09.24	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	1:1
16.03.24	Platges de Calvià - Manacor	3:0
28.10.23	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	3:2
25.02.23	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	2:0
22.10.22	Platges de Calvià - Manacor	0:3
22.01.22	Platges de Calvià - Manacor	1:1

Manacor - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide