Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Mancha Real		Motril

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.05	1.82
	4.23	3.1	1.86
	4.3	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 (4.26)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
21.3%

Draw
29.4%

Motril
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

29.5%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

28.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Mancha Real - Motril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 4.

Mancha Real has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Motril is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Motril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Motril is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mancha Real - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Torre Del Mar - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mancha Real - El Palo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWLT
- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.10.25	Motril - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Motril - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Torreperogil - Motril	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Motril - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.03.25	Motril - Mancha Real	2:2
27.10.24	Mancha Real - Motril	2:1
23.03.24	Mancha Real - Motril	4:2
05.11.23	Motril - Mancha Real	0:2
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Motril - Mancha Real	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.11.19	Mancha Real - Motril	0:0
20.01.19	Motril - Mancha Real	0:0

Mancha Real - Motril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide