Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Manchego		Almansa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.70	5.25
	1.66	3.25	4.10
	1.53	3.79	5.74
	1.54	3.83	5.6	Watch
	1.51	3.75	5.65
	1.58	4.12	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	3.74 ↑ (3.25)	5.36 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manchego
58.6%

Draw
24.4%

Almansa
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchego's performance.

Almansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Manchego - Almansa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Valverde M. ⚽,

Preview

Manchego may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Manchego is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Manchego in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Manchego has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manchego against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ciudad Real	8	6	0	2	10:6	4	18
11	Almansa	8	3	2	3	12:9	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.09.26	Manchego - Marchamalo	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Huracán Balazote - Manchego	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Manchego - Villacañas	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	La Solana - Manchego	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Albacete B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL
- UD Almansa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.09.26	Almansa - Huracán Balazote	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Almansa - La Solana	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Noblejas - Almansa	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Almansa - Elche Ilicitano	0:5 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.05.22	Conquense - Almansa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.01.22	Almansa - Manchego	1:2
05.09.21	Manchego - Almansa	0:1
16.12.20	Almansa - Manchego	1:2
05.01.20	Manchego - Almansa	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
02.09.17	Almansa - Manchego	4:0

Manchego - Almansa