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Current Win Probability
Manchego 45.9%
Draw 28.1%
Villarrubia 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
27.9%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
29.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchego's performance.
Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarrubia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Manchego - Villarrubia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Chinchu (Own goal),
40', 1 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2.
In recent matches, Manchego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Villarrubia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Watch
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