Match Info

WA State League - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Securitas Protect Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Mandurah City		Gwelup Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.20	4.10
	1.55	4.35	4.15
	1.57	4.18	4.19
	1.59	4.39	4.25	Watch
	1.55	4.10	4.10
	1.54	4.25	4.61
	1.58	4.40	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.46)	4.27 ↓ (4.5)	4.23 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mandurah City
57.6%

Draw
21.1%

Gwelup Croatia
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mandurah City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gwelup Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mandurah City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mandurah City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwelup Croatia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: ) and 10).

Mandurah City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gwelup Croatia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mandurah City is the team to beat.

We predict that Mandurah City will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mandurah City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mandurah City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mandurah City	22	11	3	8	47:39	8	36
8	Gwelup Croatia	21	6	7	8	34:43	-9	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mandurah City FC
Australian WA State League
27.06.26	Mandurah City - Kingsley Westside	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Mandurah City - Cockburn City	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Subiaco - Mandurah City	3:5 ✺
06.06.26	Murdoch University Melville - Mandurah City	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Mandurah City - Floreat Athena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWW
- Gwelup Croatia SC
Australian WA State League
27.06.26	Gwelup Croatia - Curtin University	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	UWA Nedlands - Gwelup Croatia	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Joondalup City - Gwelup Croatia	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Floreat Athena - Gwelup Croatia	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Gwelup Croatia - Quinns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
18.04.26	Gwelup Croatia - Mandurah City	5:2
21.06.25	Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia	2:0
22.03.25	Gwelup Croatia - Mandurah City	4:2
17.08.24	Gwelup Croatia - Mandurah City	1:3
01.06.24	Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia	4:2

Mandurah City - Gwelup Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide